The three people you need to win elections in Kano state are Senetor Ibrahim Shikarau, Alh. Rabiu Kwankwanso and Alh Ganduje. The three of them are the powerhouse of Kano state politics. If APC can get two of them It will win the Kano state elections. But It'll depend on how they manage Senator Shekarau. Whom both had defied at one time or the other to their regret 

In 1999, Rabiu Musa Kwankwanso established himself as the powerhouse of Kano politics when he became governor of Kano state on the platform of PDP. Ganduje was his deputy.

But Shekarau contested on the platform of ANPP against Kwankwanso in 2003 and won. To establish himself as another powerhouse in Kano State. He remained in office till 2011 before Kwankwanso came back with Ganduje as deputy to spend another 4 years for his second term.

After completing his second term he made Ganduje returned to office  as governor in 2015. But Ganduje now a powerhouse on his own fell out with Kwankwanso and moved into the APC to contest for governor in APC and was able to defeat Kwankwanso with the help of Shekarau in the 2019 elections for his second term. 

Shekarau left the PDP where he served as Minister, in search of a Senetorial ticket when he was denied the senatorial ticket in PDP and joined Ganduje in APC.

In 2019 Shekarau won the senatorial election together with Ganduje as governor and APC remained the strongest party in Kano state.

In 2023 Shekarau was denied the senatorial ticket again in APC. The mistake kwankwanso made that cost PDP Kano state in 2019 is the mistake made by Ganduje in 2023 and Shekarau joined Kwankwanso where both of them moved to NNPP.

Abba Yusuf got the gubernatorial ticket and Shekarau got the senatorial ticket. Both won the election and APC lost out , So the pendulum of power swung back to NNPP in Kano state.

Kwankwanso cannot win Kano state by himself. With Shekarau and Abba Yusuf in APC with Ganduje, Kano state will be APC's for the taking.